Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 12.456913 13.879664 15.414891 17.197238 19.212840 21.425274 24.042751
2025-07-27 10.572219 12.562174 14.868401 17.749853 21.269103 25.447006 30.811373
2025-08-03 8.917853 11.194637 14.000417 17.738116 22.625211 28.850607 37.465257
2025-08-10 7.605564 10.015530 13.149851 17.570064 23.715448 32.063780 44.446244
2025-08-17 6.569803 9.023981 12.371748 17.340226 24.642972 35.166518 51.816570
2025-08-24 5.775208 8.237070 11.742378 17.191436 25.619911 38.449227 60.018392
2025-08-31 5.161603 7.617354 11.253011 17.150513 26.714851 42.039780 69.333710
2025-09-07 4.765206 7.262128 11.097777 17.577949 28.577952 47.106404 82.035242
2025-09-14 4.315131 6.764567 10.651819 17.461041 29.502492 50.723825 92.866008
2025-09-21 3.883495 6.243714 10.100565 17.081286 29.895423 53.437877 102.506147
2025-09-28 3.555672 5.855189 9.718841 16.934451 30.665119 56.932623 114.343482
2025-10-05 3.390325 5.721712 9.752685 17.529220 32.893686 63.564630 134.071402
2025-10-12 3.224744 5.575905 9.758109 18.092184 35.192056 70.832648 157.115625
2025-10-19 3.031831 5.360814 9.613711 18.348167 36.915353 77.225012 179.755983
2025-10-26 2.799874 5.050082 9.256491 18.132624 37.614448 81.510167 198.355586
2025-11-02 2.583909 4.748014 8.883309 17.835142 38.088820 85.372492 216.878611
2025-11-09 2.389670 4.468969 8.525831 17.524311 38.484851 89.124265 236.109242
2025-11-16 2.226932 4.236380 8.237329 17.325916 39.111997 93.564268 258.514884
2025-11-23 2.092254 4.047389 8.018625 17.254707 40.033853 98.935103 285.221632
2025-11-30 2.012819 3.963657 8.011320 17.665733 42.218600 108.089600 326.490037
2025-12-07 1.894123 3.787057 7.786738 17.536129 42.997721 113.535225 357.318727
2025-12-14 1.765364 3.577929 7.470805 17.147167 43.032407 116.869582 381.962625
2025-12-21 1.665835 3.423345 7.261472 16.995102 43.686650 122.166564 415.375004